30-year fixed mortgage rate forecast in the U.S. 2026 | Statista (2024)

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30-year fixed mortgage rate forecast in the U.S. 2026 | Statista? ›

From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

Will mortgage rates come down in the next 5 years? Lord: “For the rest of 2023, I predict rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will average 7.3%, followed by 6.1% in 2024, 5.5% in 2025, 5% in 2026, 4.5% in 2027, and 4.5% in 2028.

2025/2026 UK Interest Rate Predictions

Highest Projection for Q4 2025: The Bank of England predicts interest rates in 2025 will stabilise at 3.4%. Lowest Lowest Projection for Q4 2025: 30 Rates anticipates a significant drop to 1.75%. Highest Projection for 2026: Money To The Masses sees rates at 3.74%.

Inflation and Fed hikes have pushed mortgage rates up to a 20-year high. 30-year mortgage rates are currently expected to fall to between 6.4% and 6.5% in 2024. Homebuyers might consider buying now and refinancing later to avoid increased competition when rates drop.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

After all, higher rates equate to higher minimum payments. So, you may be wondering if, and when, mortgage rates might fall to 3% or lower again - and whether or not it's worth waiting to buy a home until they do. Although rates could fall to 3% again one day, it's not likely to happen any time soon.

We now forecast the 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate to average 6.6% in 2024, and to average 6.1% in 2025.” National Association of Realtors chief economist Lawrence Yun. “The budget deficit remains high, and the various inflation metrics remain above the comfort level.

Housing Market Predictions 2025: Turning Point or Cooling Down? In 2025, the housing market is expected to start picking up again, with home prices rising by approximately 1% to 2% above the current inflation rate.

What will the US interest rate be in 2026? ›

Importantly, the SEP projects that the Federal Funds rate will fall to 4.6% in 2024, 3.9% in 2025, and 3.1% in 2026.

According to their latest forecast for 30-year mortgage rates in October 2023, they expect them to range from 7.40% to 7.86%, with an average of 7.63%. They also predict that mortgage rates will peak at 9.41% in May 2024, before gradually declining to 3.67% by November 2027.

The median estimate for the fed-funds rate target range at the end of 2025 moved to 3.75% to 4%, from 3.5% to 3.75% in December.

Now, Fannie Mae expects rates to be a half-percent higher (6.4%) by the end of this year, and remain above 6% for another two years, gradually declining to a flat 6% by fourth-quarter 2025. Freddie Mac's latest data shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently around 6.74%.

Mortgage rate predictions for 2024

The Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors sit at the low end of the group, predicting the average 30-year fixed interest rate to settle at 6.68% for Q2. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors had the highest forecast of 7.10%.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States averaged 7.73 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 18.63 percent in October of 1981 and a record low of 2.65 percent in January of 2021. This page includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

For today, Thursday, May 16, 2024, the current average 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate is 7.13%, decreasing 6 basis points over the last seven days. If you're looking to refinance, today's national average 30-year fixed refinance interest rate is 7.20%, unchanged since the same time last week.

30 Year Mortgage Rate is at 7.09%, compared to 7.22% last week and 6.39% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 7.73%.