2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

Mortgage rates under 2.5% are real — for some

United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) made headlines recently for offering 2.5% mortgage and refinance rates. Now, it’s lowered the bar even further with a 2.25% VA loan rate.

And other lenders are following suit. At the time of writing this, at least one lender in our network was offering 30-year refinance rates as low as 2.49% (2.644% APR).*

But how realistic are those rates? Is 2.5% the exception, or is it a real rate available to regular borrowers?

As always, it depends on what you qualify for.

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*Rate estimate assumes a 720 credit score and 73% LTV ratio

Whether or not you qualify for 2.25%, rates are ridiculously low

The truth is, the lowest advertised rates almost always go to top-tier borrowers; those with excellent credit scores and 20% down payments.

So a 2.25% mortgage rate will be out of reach for many. But the good news is, rates are still incredibly low across the board.

No matter how strong your application, lenders are offering better rates now than they were a year, six months, or even one month ago.

Just how low is low? Freddie Mac has been reporting average weekly mortgage rates since the 1970s. Consider where we’ve been.

2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (1)

The rates we’re seeing today are part of a long trend. A very long trend.

Since the early 1980s mortgage rates have generally trended down. 30-year rates have marched from 16.63% in 1981, to just 3.13% in June 2020.

Time PeriodAverage 30-Year RateTime PeriodAverage 30-Year Rate
198116.63%Jan. 20203.62%
199010.13%Feb. 20203.47%
20008.05%Mar. 20203.45%
20086.03%Apr. 20203.31%
20123.66%May 20203.23%
20193.94%June 25, 20203.13%

Data: Freddie Mac

Many wouldn’t have thought it possible 20 years ago — or even one year ago — but rates in the low-3% range are now being widely quoted. And rates in the 2s are a reality for some.

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Advertised mortgage rates vs. the rate you get

You’ve probably heard the ads for $1 million term-life insurance for $26 a month. These policies do exist — but not if you’re a smoker or 65 years old.

In a similar sense, there are a lot of alluring mortgage offers out there. Rates that are so low they look like typos. But is such financing really available?

The answer is yes for some borrowers but no for others. To see who qualifies and who doesn’t, you have to look at the entire offer.

The truth about 2.25% VA loan rates

Consider the advertised 2.25% VA mortgage rate from UWM as an example. (Though this line of reasoning applies to non-VA loans, too.)

All real estate financing comes with conditions and requirements of some type.

In the case of the 2.25% VA mortgage offer, UWM provides an example that assumes a “30-year Fixed-Rate VA Loan at an interest rate of 2.25% and 80% loan-to-value (LTV).”

As you read the example and related materials, there are some questions to ask.

  • Are you VA qualified?
  • What’s your credit score? (A minimum of 640 is required)
  • Are you buying a home or refinancing?
  • If you’re buying, are you willing to put 20% down?
  • If you’re refinancing, will you keep at least 20% equity in the home?
  • What’s the rate for VA financing with nothing down?

VA financing is available with 0% down for buyers, and current homeowners can refinance 100% of the property’s reasonable value using the VA streamline (IRRRL).

But those taking advantage of zero-down or low-down-payment options likely won’t get the lowest possible rates.

There’s always a compromise between how strong your application is, and how low a rate lenders will offer you.

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The best mortgage rate — it’s complicated

Mortgage lenders are in business to make money. The last thing they want is to decline loans, turn away borrowers, or make the application process any more difficult than necessary.

So why do borrowers have to meet such high standards to get the best mortgage rates?

The thing is, there’s a lot going on behind the scenes when a mortgage lender determines your rate.

Investors and the secondary mortgage market

Mortgages are routinely sold into the secondary market to such buyers as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and investors worldwide.

The secondary market is an electronic “place” where mortgages are bought and sold. By selling mortgages, lenders get the cash they can use to make new loans.

But such investors have their standards.

Investors in the secondary market want to buy standardized products. They may require a loan to have a certain down payment, debt-to-income ratio, and credit score.

Why? Because they want to be sure they’re making a safe investment. These types of criteria help lenders and investors verify that borrowers will be able to pay back their mortgages.

Loan program requirements

There are also different requirements to qualify for a mortgage — and a low rate — depending on what type of loan you apply for.

You can buy with little or nothing down with backing from the FHA, VA, USDA, and private mortgage insurance. These programs protect lenders if borrowers don’t make their payments.

But they also have certain requirements borrowers must meet to qualify for program support. If a home buyer can’t meet program standards then the loan application will not go through.

Mortgage company requirements

Regardless of other requirements, lenders may have additional standards — so-called “layering” — that borrowers must meet. These standards arise because lenders want to reduce risk.

For instance, the official guidelines say you can get FHA financing with a credit score of just 500 and 10% down. But those loans can be hard to find in reality. In fiscal year 2019, HUD reports that just 1.04% of all forward FHA loans had credit scores below 579. That’s because many lenders simply don’t want loans with lower credit scores.

Similarly, lenders get to decide what rates they’ll offer to borrowers. And those rates change daily.

You might be offered a higher or lower rate from one lender depending on its current workload, what types of loans it prefers to take on, how available investor money is at the moment, and so on.

How to find your lowest rate

Despite the complicated factors that influence your mortgage rate, you don’t have to be a finance expert to find the best deal. You just have to be willing to do a little work.

You’ll get the best mortgage rate when you find the lender and loan program that best fit your needs.

Shop around and speak with a few lenders before committing to a mortgage. That way you can be sure you’re getting the lowest rate available to you.

Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

FAQs

Does anyone have a 2% mortgage rate? ›

30-year rates have marched from 16.63% in 1981, to just 3.13% in June 2020. Many wouldn't have thought it possible 20 years ago — or even one year ago — but rates in the low-3% range are now being widely quoted. And rates in the 2s are a reality for some.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.

Are advertised mortgage rates accurate? ›

When you're shopping around for a mortgage loan, a lender may offer you an interest rate that's different from what's displayed on their website. Don't worry – this doesn't make you a victim of false advertising. Multiple factors – personal and otherwise – determine your mortgage rate.

How do I get out of a rate lock? ›

You can back out of a mortgage rate lock, but there are consequences. Backing out of a rate lock means giving up the application you've put time and money into. You'll have to start your mortgage application over from the start, and you'll likely have to re-pay fees like the credit check and home appraisal.

What is a good rate for a 30 year mortgage? ›

Today's 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
ProductTodayLast Week
30 Year Fixed Average6.65%6.57%
Conforming6.84%6.75%
FHA5.99%5.96%
Jumbo4.00%4.02%
4 more rows

Will interest rates go down in 2024? ›

That outlook has mostly changed. Nearly halfway through 2024, the highly anticipated interest rate cuts have yet to happen, home prices are still growing, and affordability remains a challenge.

How low will mortgage rates go in 2025? ›

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

Will rates ever go back down? ›

When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down? Mortgage rates are expected to decline when the Federal Open Market Committee cuts the benchmark interest rate, which is likely to happen in the second half of 2024. But as long as inflation runs hotter than the Fed would like, rates will remain elevated at their current levels.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

An interest rate forecast by Trading Economics, as of 12 May, predicted that the Fed Funds Rate could hit 5.25% by the end of this quarter - a forecast that has been materialised. The rate is then predicted to fall back to 3.75% in 2024 and 3.25% in 2025, according to our econometric models.

Are mortgage rates going to get worse? ›

Average 30-Year Fixed Rate

After hitting record-low territory in 2020 and 2021, mortgage rates climbed to a 23-year high in 2023. Many experts and industry authorities believe they will follow a downward trajectory into 2024. Whatever happens, interest rates are still below historical averages.

What is the FHA rate for a 620 credit score? ›

However, a credit score of 620 could qualify you for an FHA loan with a rate of 4.125%. This is a 0.75% drop from a score of 610, which could save you over $40,000 in interest payments on a $250,000 home. FHA loan applicants with a credit score of 620 or higher could qualify for down payment options starting at 3.5%.

What credit score do you need for a FHA loan? ›

FHA minimum credit score

If you put just 3.5 percent down, the minimum credit score for an FHA loan is 580. You can qualify with a score as low as 500, but you'll need to make at least a 10 percent down payment.

What is the best day to lock in mortgage rates? ›

Monday is the best day to lock-in mortgage rates; Wednesdays are risky. Mortgage rates are in constant flux, even changing multiple times a day. This volatility can make it challenging to know when to lock in your rate.

Should I lock in interest rates now or wait? ›

Some people are more comfortable locking in early on, while others prefer to gamble on fluctuations. One sensible rule of thumb is to lock in your rate when there's a scenario that works within your needs and budget. You need to assess how much risk you're comfortable with and go from there.

Is it normal to pay to lock in mortgage rate? ›

Making a mortgage rate lock deposit can save borrowers hundreds if not thousands of dollars in mortgage interest in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, but the process also carries risks. Locking in too early can cause a borrower to miss out on a better rate that may be available before closing.

What is the current 2nd mortgage rate? ›

Current second home mortgage rates
Loan typeToday's mortgage ratesLast week's rate
15-year fixed6.57%6.71%
20-year-fixed7.08%7.35%
30-year jumbo7.44%7.49%
10-6 ARM7.30%7.36%
5 more rows
Feb 15, 2024

Do 2nd mortgages still exist? ›

Home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) are often used as second mortgages. Homeowners might use a second mortgage to finance large purchases like college, a new vehicle, or even a down payment on a second home.

Do people have 2 mortgages? ›

The Bottom Line: You Can Have Multiple Mortgages

This may be a great option if you have a real estate investment strategy focused on owning multiple properties. However, it's also important to understand the added financial responsibilities that come with having more than one home loan.

Are the big winners of the pandemic 2% mortgage rate holders? ›

And the homeowners who locked in mortgage rates around 2% or 3% may just be the big financial winners of the pandemic, as rates are currently hovering around 7%. As of Tuesday's reading the average 30-year fixed rate came in at 6.75% and the average 15-year fixed rate at 6.17%.

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